Andrew Dugan, of the Gallup Poll Group, reports that most conservative Republicans do not think humans cause rising temperatures. While notable majorities of all other political parties or ideology groups say the effects of global warming will happen within their lifetime, fewer than four in 10 conservative Republicans (37%) agree, a sign of their strident skepticism on this issue.
Conservative Republicans not only decisively reject the notion that the effects of global warming will happen in this lifetime - a position in sharp contrast to all other political identities - but another 40% say global warming will never happen. This is significantly higher than the percentages of moderate or liberal Republicans (16%), non-leaning independents (14%), conservative or moderate Democrats (5%) and liberal Democrats (3%) who say the same.
These results are based on an aggregate of more than 6,000 interviews conducted as part of a Gallup annual Environment poll each March from 2010 to 2015. Both party affiliation and ideological association are self-reported. The party definitions take into account both respondents initial party preference - as Democratic, Republican or independent - and independents leanings toward either party, which are ascertained in a follow-up question. Therefore, the group of Republicans reported here includes Republican identifiers and Republican-leaning independents. Democrats includes Democratic identifiers and Democratic-leaning independents, and non-leaning independents are the residual independents who do not lean toward either major party.
Global warming views are marked by a large partisan gap - Republicans typically treat the concept and consequences of global warming with a heavy dose of denial, while Democrats usually express concern about the impact of global warming on the environment.
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