Chris Dalby reports that the numbers that define China progress over the last 50 years are staggering. Over 300 million people lifted out of poverty. Over 160 cities with more than 1 million inhabitants. Over 630 million Internet users. And now, following the recent climate-change deal with U.S., China has a massive price tag of $2 trillion to implement climate-policy changes. In order to cap carbon emissions and generate 20 per cent of the electricity from renewables by 2030, Bloomberg estimates this would require 1,000 nuclear reactors, 500,000 wind turbines or 50,000 solar farms. The pledge would require China to produce either 67 times more nuclear energy than the country is forecast to have at the end of 2014, 30 times more solar or nine times more wind power. That almost equals the non-fossil fuel energy of the entire U.S. generating capacity today.
With China already being the global number one in wind and solar energy, financing more projects for these in 2013 than all of Europe combined, it would seem logical for it to turn to these two sources for that massive expansion. However, much chatter from Communist officials is putting the attention squarely on nuclear. In early November, Guo Chengzhan, the deputy director of the National Nuclear Safety Administration, stated that nuclear power is the only scalable replacement energy and is a vital choice in the China energy strategy, while Tsinghua University expert Teng Fei told Reuters that without nuclear, their peak carbon target could be delayed by as long as a decade or more.
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