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The Uranium Unleashed Group reported in early February 2026 that the uranium market standoff pits desperate utilities (running 12-18 months fuel inventory, 70% uncovered for 2027-2030) against cash-starved mining companies missing every restart target, with Sprott's 74.9M lb SPUT refusing to sell despite low cash (recently raised $25.55M to hold), while the US Government builds strategic reserves under Defense Production Act authority.

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The real crisis lurks in ConverDyn's sold-out conversion facility (only US capacity, prices 10x to $40/kg, expansion needs 9-12 month shutdown), creating 3-5 year fuel cycle lead times that make utilities' "wait for crash" strategy suicidal as Russia's 2028 ban looms. Honeywell activist battle (Elliott Management) threatens even this chokepoint expansion.

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