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The BAS published in early 2022 an issue with a series of articles on the approaching conflict in space. The possibility of space conflict seems to be growing as more countries and private companies enter the sector. The Bulletin’s January issue examines worsening international security, military moves beyond Earth’s orbit, and a complex space war game involving China, the U.S., and their allies.

Mecklin writes that the international security situation is worsening, as countries jockey for both military and private-sector advantage in space. Retired US Air Force major general Robert Latiff, who is also a member of the Bulletin’s Science and Security Board, explains why.

Samson writes that the rise of commercial actors in space will bring ripple effects that will not only upset the existing governance structure, but also demonstrate the slipping rank of Russia as a space superpower.

Sokolski writes that the results of a recent three-move space war game suggest that space combat is unlikely to be waged only between dedicated military systems. Many civilian satellite and craft can be flipped to conduct military missions against critical, targeted satellites.

Byers and Boley write that we can still develop the moon and the region around it, but developing space in a sustainable way requires foresight, planning, and cooperation. Space must be recognized as an environment that is worth preserving, and as one in which fast-paced alterations can have unintended consequences.

Johnson writes that the idea of a space force spawns from a decades-old bipartisan vision. The concept faces many challenges ahead, from mundane concerns like managing acquisitions to broader questions such as figuring out acceptable forms of combat in space. 

Park, Puccioni and Ewing presented a case study on how machine learning was used to analyze image over 800 satellite images that tracked traffic at border crossings between China and North Korea.

Kristensen and Korda examined Israel’s nuclear arsenal, which is estimated to include a stockpile of roughly 90 warheads. The estimate is largely based on calculations of Israel’s stockpile of weapon-grade plutonium and its inventory of operational nuclear-capable delivery systems.

Click on the title link at the top to see the articles.

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